4 Comments
User's avatar
patcap's avatar

Also, on the DAX/EWG. I don't believe you can actually trade that profitably.

The median bid/ask on DAX is 0.23% https://www.globalxetfs.com/funds/dax, EWG has 0.02% https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239650/ishares-msci-germany-etf .

The overall strategy can only tolerate 0.02% slippage (and 0.0005 commissions) while being profitable. So I'm not sure you'll be able to execute this.

Expand full comment
Lay Quant's avatar

Hey, thanks for reading and pointing that out to me! I didn't know there were sites that tracked bid/ask spreads like that.

It may be that the short-selling elements of strategies might just not be worth it for retail traders. I checked at market close yesterday and I couldn't short DAX, EWG, or EEM without calling up the trading desk to ask for shares. It happened once last month with EEM so I kind of waved it off, but if it's a persistent problem every month I may have to stick to long-only strategies.

Expand full comment
Lggwyko's avatar

You are right. My backtest with IBKR comissions and real spreads shows that it loses money constantly because of the costs.

Expand full comment
patcap's avatar

Great post!

I find the extra rigor and effort to automate everything helps to remove any loss aversion like you mention. I sometimes do intervene, but the automated system will always close out at the end.

Expand full comment